All eyes are on Haydock this afternoon as Pete takes a look at the Sprint Cup betting and picks out his bets for the day.
The Sprint Cup Stakes is the feature race of the day, it’s is run over 6f and due off at 4:30. Limato is the one that they all have to beat.
He’s got an impressive strike rate of 7 wins from 12 starts. This Henry Candy trained gelding was very strong in the finish when winning the July Cup over this distance.
He was dropped to 5f for the first time on its last run but found only the mighty Mecca’s Angel too good.
Henry Candy’s flyer reverts back to his favourite trip today though and has the ground back in his favour too. He’s going to be very tough to beat today and 3/1 looks a decent price.
Get 10/1 QUIET REFLECTION to Finish first Three (Sprint Cup 4.30):
Quiet Reflection was 2l behind Limato in the July Cup but was always outpaced and was never going to beat Limato.
He’ll run his race and should finish in the top three but I don’t see him beating Limato.
Magical Memory has had a decent season. 2 runs ago he beat today’s rival Suedois by a length in a Group 2 but was beaten by 4l into 7th by Limato last time out.
He didn’t get a clear passage that day though and given that Suedois finished only 2l behind Limato, Magical Memory could well get closer to Limato today and offers each way value at 10/1.
The Tin Man is yet another horse with a decent chance in this.
He won nicely last time out in a Group 3 over this trip but that form is somewhat sort of this quality.
Its previous run showed that when he ran behind both Magical Memory and Suedois. Dancing Star is the dark horse in this race.
He’s gone from strength to strength in sprint handicaps this season, notably when winning the Stewards Cup at Glorious Goodwood on it’s most recent start.
He has a lot to find with most of these on ratings. I can see him running a big race but a place chance at best. I think LIMATO will win this race. The price isn’t overly great but a winner is a winner.
I think Magical Memory will be the one to chase him home.
There are a few horses that I fancy at decent prices elsewhere today too.
The top weight SUEGIOO catches the eye in the 3:30 at Haydock.
He has been competing at Group 2 and Group 3 level in recent years, and the form of his 2nd in a Group 2 at Doncaster last season and his 3rd in a Group 3 this season would give him a great chance in this.
He steps into handicap company for the first time in quite some time today and has been dropped a total of 3lb for his last 2 runs.
The Richard Fahey trained runner also has the very talented claimer Adam McNamara on board who claims 5lb off it’s back. McNamara won the Ebor on my tip Heartbreak City, I’m hoping he can win on this one again today.
Even if he doesn’t win there is profit to be made for a place.
This one is a very nice each way price at 25/1 and firms are paying 4 places each way.
The 2:40 at Ascot today is the first leg of the Scoop6. It’s a tricky sprint handicap run over 7f but YATTWEE stands out on form in this.
Unlike most of these the horse is unexposed and has had only 5 run. He won on debut and then won again 2 runs later at Newmarket over 6f.
On it’s next run it came 5th in the big 3yo handicap, the Britannia at Royal Ascot. The first 4 home in that race have all been since sold to Japan to race.
The race is usually the best 3yo handicap of the season and lots of group winners have always come from that race.
Yatwee was not disgrace on it’s last run which came in a listed race.
I don’t think he handled the tight bends at Chester and the yard was not in good form then. He drops in grade today, still has potential for greater things and has a talented apprentice claim a valuable 7lb off it’s back today. Is another one at a nice each way price.
Lincoln has been a big of a gamble all week long, he’s one to keep an eye on for further support.
ROBIN OF NAVAN looks like the best horse on show at Kempton today. The bookmakers have underestimated him in the betting market.
There may well be some value to be had with this one. This horse is trained by an Englishman but is trained in France. All of it’s run’s have come in France but he has showed a very good level of form. He’s 4 from 8 which is a decent strike rate.
This one won a Group 1 as a 2yo and was 2nd in a Group 2 this season as a 3yo.
He ran poorly last time out but that was in the French Derby. Is dropped into a small field Group 3 today and I think he has a cracking chance. I don’t rate many of the others in this field. Fire Fighting has had 3 runs in quick succession and it looks like it’s trainer is trying to get that one down the handicap.
Sky Hunter has been off the track for nearly a year. Arab Spring is the main danger but he is beatable.
I think and each way bet on Robin Of Navan in this race at 5/1 is a very good bet.
He has a great chance of winning and if he comes 2nd you pretty much get your money back.
The 4:15 at Kempton is the penultimate leg in the Scoop6. It’s the final of a qualifier series.
The qualifier that holds the key in this is the one in which Dommersen won, Afjaan was 2nd and Sirius Prospect was 3rd in. It was run early last month over this course and distance.
Afjaan really should have won that race. He travelled so strongly through the race but it’s jockey kept it wide and lost a lot of ground on the final bend. Dommersen scraped the paint around the final bend and used the cutaway to his advantage. He gained a lot of ground on the field and Afjaan but taking the inside route.
He only just held on from Afjaan but jockey tactics won the race for it. I do think Afjaan is the better of the two though, he is also 2lb better off today with Dommersen for that head defeat. The 3rd that day Sirius Prospect was a real big eye catcher.
He was kept at the back of the field throughout and made up an incredible amount of ground in the latter stages of the race. I think the main aim with that one was to just get it qualified for his race. He was giving Dommersen 10lb then and Afjaan 6lb.
Is now 7lb better off with Dommersen and 5lb better off with Afjaan for only a 2l defeat. I think SIRIUS PROSPECT has a great chance of winning this at a very nice price of 14/1.
I’m advising you do a Lucky 31 for all of my selections today.
Yattwee 14/1 2:40 Ascot
Sueigoo 25/1 3:30 Haydock
Robin Of Navan 5/1 3:45 Kempton
Sirius Prospect 14/1 4:15 Kempton
Limato 7/4 4:40 Haydock
Total Bets: 31 x Stake: 0.50c
Total Stake: £15.50
The Scoop6 is a big pot worth taking a shot at today also.
Here are my selections:
Leg 1: 2:40 Ascot – No. 3 Yattwee
Leg 2: 3:10 Ascot – No. 2 Stargazer
Leg 3: 3:30 Haydock – No. 1 Suegioo & No.10 Shakopee
Leg 4: 4:00 Haydock – No. 3 Lighstcameration & No. 4 Robot Boy
Leg 5: 4:15 Kempton – No. 2 Sirius Prospect
Leg 6: 4:30 Haydock – No. 3 Limato
Total Bets: 4 x Stake: £2
Total Stake: £8