Pertemps Network Final Tips 2017
St Patrick’s Day at the Cheltenham Festival always turns into a day to remember – this is the trickiest race of the day? Who wins it this year?
Who won in 2016?
As one would expect this race had a wide-open look to it and the gallop was generous from the outset thanks to Flintham in first-time blinkers. Things got very tight in the home straight and the winner, Mall Dini, had to survive a stewards inquiry. He came through that inquiry and shaped like a horse that could improve further given more time. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see him back competing at next year’s Festival over fences. Worth noting that If In Doubt was one of the most unluckiest losers of the season. He could be back for compensation this year if on a similar mark.
How to pick the winner?
Only one place to start here, outsiders. Ignoring market leaders, especially those in single figures, is certainly the way to play this notoriously tricky race as shown with the relatively unfancied winner from Ireland last season with Davy Russell taking the ride.
All of the last 12 winners have had a starting price of bigger than 13/1. However, in the 90’s this race did throw up good news for punters with six winners coming from the first three in the betting.
Ruling out last time out winners looks a foolish move when the Pertemps is in town.
Horses with a ‘1’ next to their name in the race card have won this three mile gut buster nine times since 1995 from a very low representation percentage.
This is a tough ask as a lot can change between now and the Festival in March.
But a horse to put in the tracker has to be If In Doubt, who was so, so, so unlucky in this race last year. Surely, connections will be looking to attack this same route.